Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at Illusive Webcam Regionals
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 14.3% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.7% | +1.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.5% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.8% | +1.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.3% | -4.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.9% | 7 | 3-2-2 | 57.1% | 54.5% | 53.5% | +1.8 |
| Wind Allies | 6.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 44.9% | -3.8 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.8% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 54.7% | +3.5 |
| Water Allies | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.4 |
| Fire Suited | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.2% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 61.9% | +8.8 |
| Water Fractal | 3.2% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 49.3% | -0.7 |
| Water Neos | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.4 |
| Fire Exia | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.1% | -4.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 1.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.2% | -2.9 |
| Water Genbu | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 54.0% | +3.9 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -0.9 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 7 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 35 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 35 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Longtail Grovesward | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Displace | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Sunblessed Gazelle | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Harness Lightning | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Byakko's Command | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Seiryuu's Command | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Orb of Sealing | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Aesan Protector | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Sovereign Sanctuary | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Incapacitate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Reclaim | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Disorienting Winds | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spellward Scepter | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |